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Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Stephen Curry has averaged 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Stephen Curry has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The matchup against the Bucks is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (15.7).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, tallying just 17.5 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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