Stephen Curry Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.6 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Stephen Curry has sunk 7.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made overall this season.
Stephen Curry has played 33.8 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (which can also provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Stephen Curry has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The matchup against the Raptors is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing squads have posted the 4th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (48.9%).
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, totaling a lowly 20.5 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; away from their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).

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