Stephen Curry Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Stephen Curry

NBA · Player Props

Stephen Curry

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 12:53 PM EST

Analysis

Stephen Curry Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Stephen Curry has averaged 5.4 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league's hottest by this standard recently: 93rd percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Stephen Curry is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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