Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Spencer Dinwiddie rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (26th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, designating this as a good matchup.
The rate of field goals made against Kyrie Irving has been very high (49.3%) when he is playing on the road and guarding opposing starting SGs this year (83rd percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 13.3 rate, Spencer Dinwiddie's field goal attempts have declined this year to 10.5 per game.
Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
With respect to offense, the Brooklyn Nets's unimpressive 45.9% field goal percentage on their home court settles in as the 2nd-worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).