Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from three overall this year.
The 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Simone Fontecchio has sunk 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.5 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Pistons's feeble 110.0 points per game with the home court advantage ranks 7th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have registered 15.0 points per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the Hornets, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive production.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Hornets).

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