Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 10:52 PM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has converted 52.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's converted overall this year.
Simone Fontecchio has attempted 6.8 threes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
Simone Fontecchio has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 9.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The Jazz rank as the least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat).

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