Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 23, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 9:46 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric in recent games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
On their home court, the Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production across the board.

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