Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 8:33 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game when playing on the road comes in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Washington is a good one; when the Washington Wizards are at home, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.8).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Wizards, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Thunder have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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