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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/15/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 32.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a whopping 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.3 rate last season.

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year.

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 2nd-best in in the league away from their home court with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

As a team, the Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 21.0 free throws per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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