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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has notched 32.3 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a terrific 2.1 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.3 rate last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for in all games this season.

The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have put up the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (20.5%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been bad at getting to the free-throw line: 9th-worst in the league this year, totaling just 20.9 free throw attempts per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance across the board.

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