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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 12/10/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has notched 29.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 75th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc at home, registering 5.1 per game this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The 4th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 9thworst in in the league on their home court with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.

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