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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 34.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.7 more than he's put up overall this year on the road.Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 50.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while on their home court this year.This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (24th-best in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a positive matchup.The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In comparison to last year's 3.0 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.6.The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).This year, opposing squads have snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
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