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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 20.0 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's field goal attempts have surged this year to 22.0 per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Thunder have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The 10th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for scoring; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (34.5%).

The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (preserving possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense).

In comparison to last season's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots scored have tailed off this season to 6.9 per game.

The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (11th-least in the league).

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