Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's excellent 120.7 points per game playing at home comes in as the 2nd-highest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against San Antonio is a good one for 3-pointers; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest three rate in the league since the start of last season (42.5%).
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 41.3% mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's three-point effectiveness has dropped this year to 25.2%.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a massive 0.0 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots drained have been reduced this season to 5.8 per game.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs, struggling to get to the foul line.