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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a whopping 10.4 buckets per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 8.5 rate last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 46.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have put up the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (39.8%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (7th-least in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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