Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 6.2 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch of games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 80th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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