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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled a whopping 6.4 assists per game this year, significantly more than his 5.4 assists per game last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to see a rise in production in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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