Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has put up 6.4 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days.
Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to see a decline in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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