Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 5.4 assists per game on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league while on the road this year.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have nabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Compared to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's rate of personal fouls has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander figures to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this contest.

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