Shaedon Sharpe Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Shaedon Sharpe

NBA · Player Props

Shaedon Sharpe

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Shaedon Sharpe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Shaedon Sharpe has successfully made 84.7% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Shaedon Sharpe has sunk 33.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 12 games at home, 9.6% less than he's made overall this year when playing at home.
Shaedon Sharpe has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (90th percentile).
The Trail Blazers check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have tallied 15.1 points per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Hawks, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

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