Shaedon Sharpe Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Shaedon Sharpe

NBA · Player Props

Shaedon Sharpe

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Shaedon Sharpe Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 8.1 rate, Shaedon Sharpe's shots from the field have jumped this season to 14.6 per game.
Shaedon Sharpe has averaged a terrific 36.1 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 21.8 minutes per game last year.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 20.3 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making this a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 9 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Shaedon Sharpe has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
In terms of scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 104.3 points per game without the home court advantage places fewest in the NBA this year.
While at home, the Indiana Pacers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Shaedon Sharpe will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance across the board.

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