Scottie Barnes Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Scottie Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Scottie Barnes

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Scottie Barnes Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scottie Barnes has put up 4.7 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric in recent games.
Scottie Barnes has tallied 33.4 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Scottie Barnes has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year when playing on the road.
Scottie Barnes will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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