Scoot Henderson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Scoot Henderson

NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Thunder is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 12.9 rate, Scoot Henderson's shots from the field have dropped this year to 10.5 per game.
Scoot Henderson has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
As it relates to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 104.3 points per game as the road team settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
Scoot Henderson has converted a mere 64.3% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 83.0 rate last season.
Scoot Henderson will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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