Scoot Henderson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 1:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has made 44.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.3% higher than he's made overall this season.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making this a good matchup.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Scoot Henderson has converted 38.0% of his shot attempts from the field without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the league.
Scoot Henderson has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
In regard to offense, the Trail Blazers's poor 106.5 points per game when playing away from home rates fewest in the league this year.
The Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Scoot Henderson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.