Scoot Henderson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Scoot Henderson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-103/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Scoot Henderson has attempted 15.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a lowly 19.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
Scoot Henderson will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Scoot Henderson comes in at the 16th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a weak 24.2% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Scoot Henderson slots into the 99th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.5 fouls per game while at home this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Trail Blazers's feeble 106.8 points per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).