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Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Royce O'Neale Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Royce O'Neale has successfully made 51.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.9% higher than he's converted in all games this season while on the road.

Royce O'Neale has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Brooklyn Nets have been the most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

While playing at home, the Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 21.2 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Royce O'Neale has sunk just 58.3% of his free throws this year, significantly lower than his 81.8 mark last year.

Royce O'Neale has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 fouls per game last year.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for threes; opposing squads have posted the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (36.6%).

The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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