RJ Barrett Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

RJ Barrett

F-G · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

RJ Barrett Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

RJ Barrett has converted 52.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.8% more than he's made in all games this season.
RJ Barrett has sunk 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year away from his home court.
RJ Barrett has played 30.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Raptors have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

RJ Barrett has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Raptors's lackluster 11.9 successful threes per game rates 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against New York is a difficult one for field goals; when the Knicks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (33.3%).
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.