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Richaun Holmes

Richaun Holmes Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Richaun Holmes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Richaun Holmes places in the 100th percentile for three-point efficiency while on his home court with a a superb 62.5% rate since the start of last season.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads this year (105.3).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

Richaun Holmes will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has secured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).

Richaun Holmes has sunk just 37.5% of his free throws this year, a significant dropoff from his 77.5 mark last year.

This year, opposing clubs have attempted 25.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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