Peyton Watson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2024

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 19, 2024

Updated Nov 20, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has successfully made 53.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Peyton Watson has converted 52.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 19.5% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Peyton Watson has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.6 more than he's played in all games this season.
The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year has been the Nuggets.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, branding this as a challenging matchup.
Peyton Watson is expected to see a decline in production in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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