Peyton Watson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making this a positive matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Dallas may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (6th-most in the league).
Peyton Watson will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Peyton Watson has successfully made a measly 33.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly less than his 43.5 mark last year.
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
Among all players in the NBA, Peyton Watson lands in the 79th percentile for off the mark free throws, totaling a monstrous 0.7 per game this year.

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