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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Peyton Watson measures in the 79th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging a massive 2.9 foul shots per game this year.
  • Peyton Watson will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last year's 43.5% mark, Peyton Watson's scoring prowess has declined this year to 29.4%.
  • Peyton Watson has made a lowly 17.9% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly lower than his 27.1 rate last year.
  • Peyton Watson has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
  • The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

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