Peyton Watson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has successfully made 52.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home.
The Denver Nuggets have been the most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Peyton Watson has converted a terrific 61.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 45.7 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games as the away team.
The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Peyton Watson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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