Peyton Watson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has made 51.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 23.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
Peyton Watson has attempted 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for field goals; their opposition has compiled the 10th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 20 games (47.0%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's poor 110.6 points per game away from home rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).
This year, opposing clubs have attempted 25.3 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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