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Peyton Watson

Peyton Watson Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Peyton Watson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Peyton Watson has successfully made 45.7% of his field goals over the last 13 games on the road, 10.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage.
  • Peyton Watson has been called for 0.8 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (5th percentile).
  • The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year, which should boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has come down with 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Peyton Watson has been on the court for 5.6 minutes per game over the last 13 games, 8.1 lower than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
  • When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.
  • This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (36.2).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while at home this year.
  • Peyton Watson has sunk 35.7% of his free throws over the last 13 games at home, 14.3% lower than he's put through the net in all games this season with the home court advantage.

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