Peyton Watson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Peyton Watson

NBA · Player Props

Peyton Watson

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Peyton Watson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Peyton Watson has tallied a whopping 16.7 minutes per game this year, a significant increase from his 7.1 minutes per game last year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Peyton Watson has put up 0.9 assists per game away from home this year, placing him in the 8th percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this standard.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Raptors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Peyton Watson should experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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