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Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Payton Pritchard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Payton Pritchard has successfully made a terrific 3.7 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 mark last year.

The Celtics check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).

Among all players in the NBA, Payton Pritchard measures in the 89th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a phenomenal 90.6% rate this year.

Payton Pritchard will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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