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Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Paul Reed has sunk 70.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 16.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year.The matchup vs. Victor Wembanyama is a good one for scoring; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have made an enormous 7.0 field goals per game (100th percentile).The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the 76ers.Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 7th-best in in the league with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.Paul Reed has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Paul Reed ranks in the 20th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on the road, posting 0.8 per game this year.Among all players in the league, Paul Reed ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 25 games has been the 76ers.Paul Reed will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production for all stats.
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