Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 6, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has converted 57.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home.
Paul Reed has converted 50.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 14.5% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The 76ers rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul Reed has attempted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paul Reed registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year has been the 76ers.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games while on the road.
Paul Reed ought to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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