Paul Reed Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Paul Reed

NBA · Player Props

Paul Reed

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:42 AM EST

Analysis

Paul Reed Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul Reed has converted 64.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's made in all games this year.
Paul Reed has converted 70.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 33.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Paul Reed has averaged 25.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.9 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul Reed has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league without the home court advantage over the last 10 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Philadelphia 76ers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Paul Reed will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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