Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · Philadelphia 76ers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 10:14 PM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has averaged 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Philadelphia 76ers.
Paul George has attempted 3.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Philadelphia 76ers's fantastic 26.0 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 46.5% mark, Paul George's shooting performance has been reduced this year to 40.2%.
In comparison to last year's 8.0 rate, Paul George's shots from behind the three-point arc have diminished this year to 6.4 per game.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the 76ers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 6thworst in in the league while playing on the road with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (4th-least in the NBA).