Paul George Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has sunk 4.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this year.
The Clippers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).
Paul George has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 29.1% on 3-pointers (3rd-weakest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league when playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 22 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.