Paul George Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Paul George Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Paul George rates in the 99th percentile for 3-pointers hit, averaging 3.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Paul George comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 4.8 3-point attempts per game (8th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Clippers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home in regard to 3-point attempts.
Paul George will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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