Paul George Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -178 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has converted 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Paul George has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
The LA Clippers rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.4).
On their home court, the Warriors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Clippers.
The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Paul George will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.