Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has totaled 4.0 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
Paul George has played 34.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The LA Clippers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
Paul George will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Paul George has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
While playing away from home, the Lakers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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