Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has played 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.
The Clippers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied a measly 3.8 assists per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.1 assists per game last year.
Paul George has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the LA Clippers.
Paul George will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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