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Patty Mills

Patty Mills Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers

Patty Mills Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Patty Mills measures in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.0 fouls per game this year.

The Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on their home court this year.

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a positive one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have shot for the highest FG% in the league this year (51.5%).

Patty Mills has converted a whopping 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 87.0 rate last year.

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Patty Mills has sunk a lowly 31.2% of his field goals this season, significantly less than his 37.8 rate last season.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.

The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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