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Patty Mills

Patty Mills Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/26/2024

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Patty Mills Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Patty Mills has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Patty Mills will likely see an increase in production for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Patty Mills has made 17.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 12.6% lower than he's made from three overall this year.

Patty Mills has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 21.6% on three-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a tough matchup.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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