Patrick Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Patrick Williams

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-152/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has tallied 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's tallied overall this year.
While on their home court, the Raptors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Patrick Williams will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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