Patrick Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Patrick Williams

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:05 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has converted 39.4% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Bulls check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.1%).
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
This year, opposing teams have grabbed 10.9 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
Patrick Williams stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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