Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the league (25th percentile).
The speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
Pat Connaughton will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

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